Treatment FAQ

how many subjects needed to determine if treatment effective

by Prof. Giovanni Kautzer Published 2 years ago Updated 2 years ago
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How many subjects are there in a clinical trial?

The number of subjects usually ranges from several hundred to about 3,000 people. If the FDA agrees that the trial results are positive, it will approve the experimental drug or device. A Phase IV trial for drugs or devices takes place after the FDA approves their use.

What should be the expected outcome of the study?

The study outcome must be a percentage, that is, a number that varies from 0% to 100%. Information regarding expected prevalence rates should be obtained from the literature or by carrying out a pilot-study.

How many subjects do you need for a power analysis?

In some cases, a power analysis might suggest a number of subjects that is inadequate for the statistical procedure. For example, a power analysis might suggest that you need 30 subjects for your logistic regression, but logistic regression, like all maximum likelihood procedures, require much larger sample sizes.

What should be the sample size in each treatment group?

Many studies only include statements like ‘we calculated that the sample size in each treatment group should be 250 at an alpha of 0.05 and a power of 0.80’. However, such a statement is almost meaningless because it neglects the estimates for the effect of interest and the variability.

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How can you determine the effectiveness of a treatment?

The effectiveness of a particular therapeutic approach can be assessed in three ways: client testimonials, providers' perceptions, and empirical research.

What are the 4 phases of clinical trials?

Each stage of a clinical trial has its own purpose in ensuring that a treatment is safe and effective for use by the public....Phases of Clinical TrialsPhase 1 Clinical Trial. ... Phase 2 Clinical Trial. ... Phase 3 Clinical Trial. ... Monitoring Post-FDA Approval.

How many patients are needed for a clinical trial?

Usually, a small number of healthy volunteers (between 20 and 80) are used in Phase 1 trials. Phase 2 trials include more participants (about 100-300) who have the disease or condition that the product potentially could treat.

What is efficacy vs effectiveness?

Efficacy can be defined as the performance of an intervention under ideal and controlled circumstances, whereas effectiveness refers to its performance under 'real-world' conditions.

Why is it important to have a study with too many participants?

Using too many participants in a study is expensive and exposes more number of subjects to procedure. Similarly, if study is underpowered, it will be statistically inconclusive and may make the whole protocol a failure.

How is the sample size required to reject or accept a study hypothesis determined?

The sample size required to reject or accept a study hypothesis is determined by the power of an a-test. A study that is sufficiently powered has a statistical rescannable chance of answering the questions put forth at the beginning of research study.

Is a sample big enough to be statistically significant?

Sample must be ‘big enough’ such that the effect of expected magnitude of scientific significance, to be also statistically significant. Same time, It is important that the study sample should not be ‘too big’ where an effect of little scientific importance is nevertheless statistically detectable.

Why is the number of patients in a study restricted?

Usually, the number of patients in a study is restricted because of ethical, cost and time considerations. However, if the sample size is too small, one may not be able to detect an important existing effect, whereas samples that are too large may waste time, resources and money.

When should power be calculated?

The power should always be calculated prior to a study to determine the required sample size, since it is the pre-study probability that the study will detect a minimum effect regarded as clinically significant . After the study is conducted, one should not perform any ‘ posthoc ’ power calculations.

Definitions

Before we move on, let’s make sure we are all using the same definitions. We have already defined power as the probability of detecting a “true” effect, when the effect exists. Most recommendations for power fall between .8 and .9.

Knowing your research project

As we mentioned before, one of the big benefits of doing a power analysis is making sure that you have thought through every detail of your research project.

What you need to know to do a power analysis

In the previous section, we discussed in general terms what you need to know to do a power analysis. In this section we will discuss some of the actual quantities that you need to know to do a power analysis for some simple statistics.

Obtaining the necessary numbers to do a power analysis

There are at least three ways to guestimate the values that are needed to do a power analysis: a literature review, a pilot study and using Cohen’s recommendations. We will review the pros and cons of each of these methods.

Factors that affect power

From the preceding discussion, you might be starting to think that the number of subjects and the effect size are the most important factors, or even the only factors, that affect power. Although effect size is often the largest contributor to power, saying it is the only important issue is far from the truth.

Cautions about small sample sizes and sampling variation

We want to take a moment here to mention some issues that frequently arise when using small samples.

Software

We will briefly discuss some of the programs that you can use to assist you with your power analysis. Most programs are fairly easy to use, but you still need to know effect sizes, means, standard deviations, etc.

How many phases are there in clinical trials?

Clinical trials advance through four phases to test a treatment, find the appropriate dosage, and look for side effects. If, after the first three phases, researchers find a drug or other intervention to be safe and effective, the FDA approves it for clinical use and continues to monitor its effects. Clinical trials of drugs are usually described ...

What are the two types of studies?

There are two types, observational studies and clinical trials. Observational studies observe people in normal settings. Researchers gather information, group volunteers according to broad characteristics, and compare changes over time. For example, researchers may collect data through medical exams, tests, or questionnaires about a group ...

What does the FDA do before a clinical trial?

Before the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approves a clinical trial to begin, scientists perform laboratory tests and studies in animals to test a potential therapy’s safety and efficacy. If these studies show favorable results, the FDA gives approval for the intervention to be tested in humans.

Why are seniors enrolled in drug trials?

Having seniors enrolled in drug trials helps researchers get the information they need to develop the right treatment for older people. Share this infographic and help spread the word about the benefits of participating in clinical trials and studies.

Why do researchers need older people to participate in clinical trials?

Researchers need the participation of older people in their clinical trials so that scientists can learn more about how the new drugs, therapies, medical devices, surgical procedures, or tests will work for older people. Many older people have special health needs that are different from those of younger people.

Why do we use clinical trials?

Often a clinical trial is used to learn if a new treatment is more effective and/or has less harmful side effects than the standard treatment. Other clinical trials test ways to find a disease early, sometimes before there are symptoms. Still others test ways to prevent a health problem.

Why do people participate in clinical trials?

Many people say participating in a clinical trial is a way to play a more active role in their own health care.

Abstract

Guidelines to inform research evidence standards have acknowledged that there is currently no agreed-upon method for treatment effect size estimation in single-case research.

Introduction

Heterogeneity presents a unique challenge within the field of autism research, as individuals with Autism Spectrum Disorder (ASD) exhibit significant variability in the kind and extent of symptomatology.

Method

Studies were located by conducting a systematic search of peer-reviewed literature published prior to November 2013.

Results

Thirty eight self-management intervention articles included in the data set reported treatment data from a variety of behaviors and settings for 102 participants. Given that many treatments were repeated across either behaviors or settings, a total of 215 data series were included in these graphs.

Discussion

Our results show that for 64 of the 102 participants included in the self-management interventions, and 16 of the 20 participants included in the exercise interventions, the number of data points in the first AB phase comparison was below the required minimum for regression-based estimates of treatment effect sizes.

Conclusion

We have explored the volume of SCD data collected in both an established and an emerging treatment for participants on the autism spectrum.

Author information

Faculty of Education, Monash University, Building 6, Clayton Campus, Clayton, VIC, 3800, Australia

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Why Sample Size Calculations?

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The main aim of a sample size calculation is to determine the number of participants needed to detect a clinically relevant treatment effect. Pre-study calculation of the required sample size is warranted in the majority of quantitative studies. Usually, the number of patients in a study is restricted because of ethical…
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Components of Sample Size Calculations

  • In order to calculate the sample size, it is required to have some idea of the results expected in a study. In general, the greater the variability in the outcome variable, the larger the sample size required to assess whether an observed effect is a true effect. On the other hand, the more effective (or harmful!) a tested treatment is, the smaller the sample size needed to detect this p…
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How to Calculate The Sample Size For Randomized Controlled Trials

  • Formulas for sample size calculation differ depending on the type of study design and the studies outcome(s). These calculations are particularly of interest in the design of randomized controlled trials (RCTs). In RCTs, a lot of money is invested, and it is therefore important to be sufficiently sure that enough patients are included in the study arms in order to find as statistically significa…
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SBP as A Continuous Outcome

  • When the significance level alpha is chosen at 0.05, like in these examples, one should enter the value 1.96 for a in the formula. Similarly, when beta is chosen at 0.20, the value 0.842 should be filled in for b in the formula. These multipliers for conventional values of alpha and beta can be found in Table 3. Suppose the investigators consider a difference in SBP of 15 mmHg between t…
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SBP as A Binary Outcome

  • For a study with a binary outcome, calculating the required sample size is slightly more complicated. It should be calculated based on the number of events rather than on the number of people in the study (Box 2). The number of events can be increased either by choosing higher risk patients, by increasing the follow-up time, or by increasing the sample size. In this case, we supp…
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Other Outcome Types

  • In many trials, the outcomes may not be continuous or binary as above, but instead may be survival (e.g. time to event). In these cases, the details of calculation differ, but using the four aforementioned components, persist through calculations with other types of outcomes. However, other assumptions can be necessary.
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Other Study Designs Than Rcts

  • In this paper, we focus on sample size calculations for RCTs, but also for studies with another design such as case-control or cohort studies, sample size calculations are sometimes required. Although the calculation of sample size is based on the same principles for all parallel study designs, the formulas for sample size calculations for other study designs than RCTs often nee…
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Common Pitfalls

  • The calculation of the sample size is troubled by a large amount of imprecision, because investigators rarely have good estimates of the parameters necessary for the calculation. Unfortunately, the required sample size is very sensitive to the choice of these parameters.
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Reporting of Sample Size Calculations

  • According to the CONSORT statement, sample size calculations should be reported and justified in all published RCTs [10]. These calculations provide important information. Firstly, they specify the primary endpoint, which safeguards against changing the planned outcome and claiming a large effect on an outcome which was not the original primary outcome. Secondly, knowing the …
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Further Reading

  • Methods for sample size calculations are described in several general statistics textbooks, such as Altman (1991) [14] or Bland (2000) [15]. Specialized books which discuss sample size determination in many situations were published by Machin et al. (1997) [16] and Lemeshow et al. (1990) [17]. In addition, there are different software programs that can assist in sample size calc…
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